Odds in a strict betting sense denote the ratio of a payout to a stake. The payout is the total amount paid by a bookmaker to a punter who makes a correct betting call. A stake is an amount wagered by a punter on the probability of his chosen outcome occurring. In looser contexts, odds are taken to represent the probabilities of the events they are attached to occurring. This is not a very precise definition due to the fact that the bookmaker has built-in “overrounds” into the figures to accommodate his own profits no matter what outcome turns up. Whereas, statistical probabilities on the possible outcomes of an event sum up to 1 or 100%, betting odds build up to more than 100% to accommodate the bookmaker’s profit.
Odds are mostly expressed in two forms, fractional odds (traditional) and decimal odds (continental). Fractional odds relate the amount a punter wins relative to his stake if his bet is successful. A fractional odd of 8/2 means the punter would get Ksh8 for every Ksh2 that he stakes on a bet. The fractional odds system is more commonly used in the United Kingdom. Decimal or continental odds give the ratio of payout to stake and is the preferred method for stating odds in most parts of the world. The big difference between both systems is that the fractional system doesn’t factor in the stake of the punter in expressing the payout, while the decimal system does.
How does odds work?
As defined earlier, odds give the mathematical ratio of a payout to the stake in betting. Most odds are expressed in decimal form, and they serve as multipliers of a stake when computing the total payout of a successful bet. An example of this works is painted in the scenario described below:
Suppose there is a league game between Manchester United and Arsenal at the latter’s home ground. The 1X2 bet type fixed a Manchester United home win at odds of 1.90, a draw at 4.30, and an Arsenal away win at 2.80. If a punter stakes Ksh10 on a Manchester United home win and it turns out Manchester United won, the punter would receive a payout calculated as:
Payout = 1.90 (odds) x 10 (stake)
The punter has made Ksh9 in addition to his Ksh10 stake, so the total payout is Ksh19. Online betting platforms already work out what the payout on a stake would be and put the figures on the bet slip.
Significance of what are odds
Odds paint a picture of the probability of an expected outcome occurring in betting. Outcomes that have a high degree of occurring usually have very low odds attached to them. The more likely a probable outcome will occur, the lower the numerical odds attached to it. Improbable outcomes of an event will have relatively high odds attached to them. The odds fixing mechanism takes cognizance of the risks a punter is taking on when he bets on an outcome and issues rewards for the risks in the form of odds. In sports betting, they are fixed taking certain factors surrounding a game into consideration. Some of the factors include the relative strength of the competitors, recent form, venue (home advantage) and history. Seasoned punters have an idea of how this works and are able to make informed decisions before staking their bet.
Golden boot 2019 winning trio, Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang fired up the pride of a continent as the English Premier League wound down on Sunday. As the Premier League title race was going down to the wire, the three Africans decided to take the centre stage in their own special way. All three finished with twenty-two goals to share the English Premier League Golden Boot 2019.
The occasion must have gladdened the hearts of African football watchers who must have been despairing that the golden age of African star performers was gone with the exit of the likes of Didier Drogba and Samuel Etoo from the limelight. Drogba won the Premier League Golden Boot twice in 2007 and 2010, and Samuel Etoo had been Pichichi (Spanish League top scorer) with Barcelona. Pundits had been raising concerns that the present generation was not living up to such exalted standards again.
African Golden Boot 2019 success!
All such concerns are now being soothed by the prominent role players of African origin are starting to play for their clubs. Riyadh Mahrez of Algeria had been very pivotal as Leicester City claimed a fairytale Premier League title win in 2016. He was subsequently voted as PFA Player of the season for the 2015/2016 season. Mo Salah went one better in the 2017/2018 season, he not only emerged as the PFA Player of the season, but he also clinched the Premier League Golden Boot with a record 32goals. This new feat by the illustrious trio of African sons should permanently banish the fear of the star power drought from the minds of African football aficionados.
None of the betting sites in Kenya had a triple in which you could play on a trio of Africans winning the Goolden Boot 2019. If they would, the odds would probably be very high!
Two-time winner: Mo Salah
Mo Salah, affectionately referred to as the Egyptian Messi surprised everyone with his achievements for Liverpool so far. Nobody would have predicted this sort of impact when he joined from Roma after a previous undistinguished stint with Chelsea in the Premier League. He took the league by storm in his first Liverpool season emerging as the Golden Boot winner and PFA Player of the Season. Another Golden Boot has been added this season and the Pharaohs of Egypt would be hoping he shows the same stellar form as he leads their charge for the African Cup of Nations on home soil.
Golden Boot winner: Sadio Mane
Sadio Mane joined the exclusive club of Africans who have top-scored in one of the prestigious European leagues by tying for the Golden Boot with Salah and Aubameyang. A powerful and tireless runner, the Golden Boot is just rewarded for the selfless work he does for his team. Mane already holds the record for the fastest hattrick ever in the Premier League from his days with Southampton. Senegal would be hoping he succeeds where the likes of El-Hadji Diouf, Henri Camara, and Jules Bocande failed by leading the Teranga Lions to their first ever triumph at the African Cup of Nations in Egypt. The Harambee Stars of Kenya would have to be on their guard when they go up against this hungry Senegalese lion at the AFCON.
Golden Boot 2019 winner: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Aubameyang is no stranger to being the top scorer in a top European league. He had emerged as Torjagerkanone (top scorer in the German Bundesliga) with 31goals in the 2016/2017 season. His time at Arsenal has been no less rewarding in terms of his goal returns, cementing his “goalrious” reputation as a seasoned poacher with the Golden Boot in his first full season with them. He won’t be at the 2019 African Cup of Nations because Gabon failed to qualify, but Arsenal fans can look forward to their top hitman firing them to glory when they clash with Chelsea in the final of the Europa League.
Tottenham Hotspur currently occupies fourth position and the last Champions League spot on the English Premier League table. Three points and a +8 goal difference margin separate them from eternal rivals, Arsenal in fifth place. Rivalries borne out of gunning for the same prize is what has kept the North London rivalry ticking over. A similar photo finish to the 2005\2006 season had Tottenham heading to their final day fixture in fourth place, a point ahead of Arsenal. They only needed to match Arsenal’s result to finish fourth and cling on to the last Champions League spot. Tottenham was undone by a bizarre illness that left almost their entire team unfit for action, eventually going down to a 2-1 defeat at West Ham. Arsenal duly capitalized and a Thierry Henry hattrick secured a 4-2 win over Wigan in the last ever match played at their famous Highbury ground.
Arsenal
With 7 games to the end of the season, Arsenal would have looked at their fixture list and a wave of optimism about nicking a Champions League spot would have swept over them. After 31 games, they had 63 points, two more than Tottenham after a similar number of games. They also had a relatively easier run-in than the rest of the teams in the top 6. Games against the likes of Everton, Watford, Crystal Palace, Wolves, Leicester, Brighton, and Burnley would not have filled Gunners with trepidation. Their implosion since then has been nothing short of catastrophic, winning only once in their last six fixtures. It took a draw in their last home game against Brighton to punctuate what had been a three-game losing streak. Now, they need a large margin win away to Burnley in their last fixture and a Tottenham loss to nick the last Champions League spot.
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham would also be in a state of bewilderment as to how they head into the last matchday without having sealed their Champions League spot. Three defeats in their last four league outings ensure that they go into the final matchday on tenterhooks. A tough looking home fixture against an in-form Everton side would be the last thing the Londoners would be looking forward to at this stage of the season. However, their task is the easier of the two, commanding a three-point lead and a +8goals advantage, they only need a draw to be absolutely sure of having nicked the final Champions League spot. A low margin loss and Arsenal not being able to score a bucketful of goals against Burnley to nullify their positive goal differential would see them through too.
Champions league spot through victories in European competitions
Both clubs could yet qualify for the Champions League even if they miss out by virtue of their league placing if they win the respective European competitions, they are competing in. Arsenal is two games away from a Europa League triumph having secured a 3-1 first leg semi-final victory over Valencia. They need to find a way to preserve this advantage when they take on Valencia in the second leg for the chance of final glory. Victory in the Europa League guarantees the winner automatic entry into the group stages of the Champions League for the following year. The question now is, have the Gunners switched the eggs of their quest for Champions League qualification into the single basket of a Europa League triumph?
Tottenham would be the more desperate of the two sides heading into their final matchday fixture against Everton at their glittering new stadium. Victory in the Champions League guarantees automatic entry back into the competition for the next season. However, a first-leg home defeat against a young and enterprising Ajax side would have rendered such hopes forlorn now and they might want to seize their chances in the league.
Betting against Tottenham
Despite all twists and turns lately, Tottenham now has the Champions League place more or less already secured. But despite that, there are still a lot of uncertainties regarding their current form. With the Champions League semi-finals second leg on Wednesday and a very compact schedule lately, the Spurs players are tired and there are a lot of players injured. That is why we think that a bet against Tottenham could prove successful. There are a lot of sports betting sites in Kenya that offers good money on an Everton win.
Hence, our conclusion is that Spurs will make it Top4 and maybe even to the finals of Champions League, but that Everton stands a good chance of at least drawing away against a fatigued Spurs.
Barcelona and Liverpool have won the Champions League five times each and would be locked in a titanic contest for the chance to have a tilt at the sixth today. The match would be one of contrasting styles as Barcelona would look to monopolize possession playing their traditional tiki-taka style while Liverpool would be looking to break and hit on the counter. Barcelona has found the going easy against English sides in recent years, beating the likes of Manchester United and Tottenham easily in this year’s edition of the competition. Liverpool, their opponent in this encounter would, however, be a different proposition altogether and Barcelona would have to be on guard against the dangerous English side. The Camp Nou, venue of the match has been turned into some sort of fortress as Barcelona has only lost once there in the last ten years.
Barcelona
Barcelona will be buoyed by the latest of its La Liga triumphs, sealed at the weekend with a victory over Levante. A Copa del Rey final awaits against Valencia on the 25th of May, but before then there’s the small matter of negotiating a passage into the Champions League final. Led by the mercurial Lionel Messi, the top goal scorer in this season’s Champions League with 10goals, they would fancy their chances of making it. Ernesto Valverde has a full squad at his disposal and would be spoilt for choice in the attacking department. The big puzzle is who to deploy between Liverpool’s ex-talisman, Philippe Coutinho and fit-again Ousmane Dembele to complement Luis Suarez and Messi in the attack. The irrepressible midfield trio of Busquets, Rakitic, and Arthur would hope to keep things ticking over nicely in midfield and screen the defence and goalkeeper Andre Ter Stegen.
Liverpool
Liverpool is still embroiled in a who-blinks-first contest with Manchester City for the Premier League title. On 91points already, a tally that would have been enough to secure the title in most other seasons, they are second and a point behind City with two games to spare. This may serve as a distraction as Jurgen Klopp’s side battle to make it two Champions League final appearances in a row. They have plugged their Achilles’ heel from last season’s final with the world record fee buy of goalkeeper Allison Becker. Protected by a defence ably marshalled by the newly crowned PFA Player of the Year, Virgil Van Dijk, a solid base is in place to unleash the devastating force that the attacking trio of Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino represent on the opposition.
Barcelona has won eight of its last ten games without a single loss. They have been devastating at home in the Champions League as well, four wins out of five games tell the story better. The likes of PSV, Inter Milan, Lyon, and Manchester United have been blitzed with a total of fifteen goals scored at the Camp Nou. The desire to repeat their treble triumphs of 2009 and 2015 will be an added incentive for them to go all out today to grab a hefty lead to take to the second leg.
Liverpool has been in a similarly rich vein of form, winning nine of its last ten games in all competitions. After a patchy away campaign in the group stages that saw them lose all three games on the road, they have found their range in the knock-out rounds. Impressive victories over Bayern Munich and Porto are indicative of the turnaround in fortunes that their away form has undergone. The question, however, is, will it be enough to stave off the threat of Barcelona?
Manchester United would be locked in a titanic contest with Chelsea for the chance to clinch a top-four spot when they lock horns in a league match on Sunday. At stake in the encounter is not just the three points on offer, but a significant boost in the push towards finishing in any of the top four positions of the English Premier League. With the first two positions already locked down by Manchester City and Liverpool (who are locked in their own life and death struggle for the EPL crown), and Tottenham Hotspurs looking very likely to clinch the third spot, Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester United are locked in a three-way contest for the last spot. This three-way contest is made more interesting with Manchester and Chelsea facing off in what can be tagged a top-four six-pointer.
Chelsea currently occupies the fourth position, separated from Manchester United in the sixth spot by three points. Manchester United would see this game as a chance to cancel out their points deficit to Chelsea and brighten their own chances for a top-four finish. Chelsea would want to strike a blow for their own top-four cause by winning and putting further distance between them and their rivals.
Both clubs have endured a topsy-turvy domestic season and it is already a given that none of them would be winning a domestic trophy this season. This must be particularly galling for the two clubs who have been English football’s most dominant sides of the last two decades. Manchester United’s season unraveled so badly that they fired their manager midway through the season. The stand-in manager, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, ushered in a brief period of renaissance which got him the job on a permanent basis. Since his permanent appointment, results have become just about as terrible as it was under the erstwhile manager. The club has lost eight of its last ten games crashing out of the FA Cup and the UEFA Champions League in the process.
Chelsea has not fared significantly better, starting the season on a promising note under new manager, Maurizio Sarri when they went twelve league games unbeaten before losing to Tottenham Hotspurs. Things have gone awry since then and there have been some farcical results such as the humiliating losses to Bournemouth and Manchester City. Things have stabilized a bit for the West London team, and they are now three points and two places above their Sunday opponent.
What to expect in the encounter
Manchester United’s recent home form has been mixed, winning three of their last five games and losing one. All season, they have won ten of their seventeen home games, amassing 35points out of a possible 51. Manchester United have not managed a goal in their last four encounters across all competitions, a run that has featured two particularly embarrassing domestic defeats. They would be looking to star man, Paul Pogba who leads their Premier League’s goal chart with 13goals to produce the sort of performance that made them splash out eighty-nine million pounds which were a world record deal in 2016 to right such a dreary return. He had already scored once when Manchester United beat Chelsea in an FA Cup encounter at Stamford Bridge earlier in the season.
Chelsea’s away form has not been very inspiring too, they have won only two of their last five away games, losing three in the process. Of their seventeen away games so far this season, they have won nine and have garnered 28points out of a possible 51. Chelsea’s star turn is Eden Hazard, a player who has plundered sixteen goals in the league for them this season and they would be hoping he reproduces some of his sparkling outings from the past against Manchester United as they go into this make or mar match. There should be goals in this particular encounter and a winner should also emerge.
Liverpool are flying presently, sustaining a domestic title challenge while keeping their hunt for the top European gong alive. A comfortable first leg victory ensure that they go into this clash with a two-goal cushion and the knowledge that any goal scored in the return leg would make a comeback harder for Porto. Liverpool’s front three of Salah, Mane and Firmino who seem to relish having identical statistics in the Champions League are hitting form at the right time. Though, they have not hit the exalted standards of last season, but they remain dangerous enough to keep the Porto defence on their toes all night. Virgil Van Dijk, who is fast establishing a reputation as a defensive kingpin would have to be on his guard to preserve Liverpool’s advantage. Liverpool should be able to see off this, a draw, win or even a loss by a two-goal margin (if they score an away goal) would still see them through.
Porto are no strangers to producing spirited comebacks having seen off Roma in the previous round after a first leg loss. Moussa Marega has been Porto’s principal source of goals in the competition so far with six goals from eight games. He has to have his scoring boots on as Porto attempt to overturn their first leg two-goal deficit. Assisting him in this improbable task is an impressive cast of players like Jesus Corona, Hector Herrera, Alex Telles, and the legendary Iker Casillas.
This battle of Britain is far from over, although Tottenham edged the home leg with a dramatic late winner. Manchester City, under Pep Guardiola (a two-time winner of the competition) would be attempting to stamp their presence in Europe’s premier competition to underline their emergence as one of Europe’s elite sides. To win and progress, Manchester City would have to get at least a two-goal margin victory. Ranged on City’s side in this pulsating clash is Sergio Aguero, who has notched five goals from six games in this season’s Champions League. Complementing him is a stellar cast of attacking talents that include Leroy Sane, Raheem Sterling, Bernado Silva, and Kevin De Bruyne.
Tottenham, on their part would be desperate to win the tie and progress further than they have ever done in the competition. A single goal victory from the first leg ensure that they go into this tie with the advantage. However, Tottenham would be ruing the loss to injury of their top hit man, Harry Kane who has contributed five goals in eight games to their campaign this season. In his absence, Son Heung-Min, Christian Eriksen, Lucas Moura, and Dele Ali would be Tottenham’s standard bearers.
Who wins it?
This tie which would be the first of a double header, promises enough fireworks and enough riches fr however nicks it. Both clubs boast a victory each in previous encounters between the two sides this season. City winning by a lone goal in the league and Tottenham repaying the favour in the Champions League.
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